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Saturday, January 22, 2022

Baylor vs. Houston odds, picks, predictions for March Insanity Ultimate 4 recreation

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Two faculties that haven’t been within the Ultimate 4 since earlier than the beginning of the NCAA Match expanded period in 1985 are again within the highlight this 12 months.

No. 1 Baylor will meet No. 2 Houston in a Ultimate 4 nationwide semifinal on Saturday. Tipoff can be at 5 p.m. or 8:30 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The sport can be televised by CBS.

Baylor (26-2) gained the South Area underneath coach Scott Drew with an 81-72 victory over Arkansas within the area ultimate. The Bears are within the Ultimate 4 for the primary time since 1950. Jared Butler, MaCio Teague and Davion Mitchell proceed to hold Baylor by its match run.

Houston (28-3), the Midwest Area champion, is within the Ultimate 4 for the primary time for the reason that Phi Slama Jama heyday of 1982-84. Coach Kevin Sampson returns to the Ultimate 4 for the primary time since 2002. Quentin Grimes and Marcus Sasser mixed for 9 3-pointers within the Cougars’ 67-61 victory over Oregon State within the Elite Eight.

Here is all the things to learn about betting on Baylor vs. Arkansas within the 2021 NCAA Match, together with up to date odds, tendencies and our prediction for the Ultimate 4 recreation.

MORE MARCH MADNESS: Reside scores | Up to date bracket | TV schedule

Baylor vs. Houston odds

  • Unfold: Baylor (-5)
  • Over/underneath: 135.5
  • Moneyline: Baylor -210, Houston +176

Three betting tendencies to look at

— Baylor is 19-10 ATS this season. The Bears are 8-3 ATS when favored by fewer than 10 factors.

— Baylor is 9-3 ATS and 12-0 S/U in nonconference video games.

— Houston is 20-11 ATS this season and 11-0 S/U in nonconference video games. That is the Cougars’ first recreation as an underdog this season.

Ultimate 4 historical past

Houston is making its sixth Ultimate 4 look. The Cougars reached the NCAA championship recreation in 1983 and 1984 with groups led by Hakeem Olajuwon and Clyde Drexler. Baylor made Ultimate 4 appearances in 1948 and 1950. Kentucky beat the Bears 58-42 within the 1948 nationwide championship recreation.

Baylor key gamers

Butler (16.5 factors per recreation), Teague (15.9 ppg) and Mitchell (14.0 ppg) carry the scoring load for the Bears, and the upperclassmen additionally mix for near 12 assists per recreation. Baylor has a deep core of position gamers, too, together with Adam Flagler (9.0 ppg), Matthew Mayer (8.2 ppg), Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6.3 ppg), Mark Important (5.7 ppg) and Flo Thamba (3.6 ppg). That eight-man rotation is meshing on the proper time.

Houston key gamers

Junior guard Quentin Grimes averages 18.0 factors and 6.0 rebounds per recreation. He’s 17 of 39 (43.6 %) from 3-point vary within the NCAA Match. Sasser averages 13.3 factors as a part of the Cougars’ dynamic backcourt, and senior Dejon Jarreau contributes 10.8 factors and 5.4 rebounds per recreation. Justin Gorham (8.6 ppg, 8.6 rpg) is the lead submit participant

Finest particular person matchup: Grimes vs. Mitchell

This has grow to be a theme for Baylor all through the season. Mitchell is a stopper — the Huge 12 Defensive Participant of the 12 months. The Bears’ protection struggled within the first half in opposition to Arkansas when Mitchell picked up three first-half fouls. Grimes has only one recreation with 10 or extra free throws this season, and he can not accept 3-point pictures with Mitchell on the perimeter.

Baylor vs. Houston stat to know

Each groups have defended the 3-point line nicely all through the match. Houston’s 4 opponents have shot 24 of 80 (30 %) from there. Baylor has restricted opponents to 19-of-72 taking pictures (26.4 %) from 3-point vary. If that development continues, then fast-break factors and half-court execution will make the distinction on each side.

Get to know . . . MaCio Teague

Teague, a senior who started his profession at UNC-Asheville, has emerged as one of many feel-good tales of the match. He failed to attain in double figures in back-to-back video games for the primary time this season within the second- and third-round video games in opposition to Villanova and Wisconsin, however he bounced again with 22 factors in opposition to Arkansas. Teague is Baylor’s second-best free-throw shooter at 85.9 %. On a stage the place that issues, he could possibly be a key participant within the ultimate minutes.

Baylor vs. Houston prediction

The faculties have a historical past that dates to their Southwest Convention days, and the Cougars have a 38-15 benefit within the sequence. The groups haven’t met since 2003, nonetheless, and the dueling Ultimate 4 droughts ought to add to the depth. Each groups can win with their protection, and that would result in some tough taking pictures within the first half. Search for each groups to settle in throughout a good second half, however Baylor’s backcourt (and depth) can be a difference-maker. The Bears reap the benefits of second-chance factors and make clutch free throws down the stretch.

Ultimate rating: Baylor 73, Houston 67

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