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Thursday, December 9, 2021

Grading the 2021 mock drafts: How did Mel Kiper, Daniel Jeremiah, Todd McShay, Peter King & different consultants fare?

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The grades are in.

For all of the leaks, hypothesis and rumors main as much as the NFL Draft yearly, we’re reminded yearly how inexact a science mock drafts are. Greatest guesses, greatest estimations, however nonetheless imperfect — very a lot so.

MORE NFL DRAFT: SN’s newest 2021 mock draft | High 100 huge board

Like throwing a Mentos breath mint in a two-liter bottle of Food plan Coke, these experiments normally go awry. And that is high-quality. That is the season for experiments, hypothesis and smokescreens, in any case. It is all in good enjoyable.

So how precisely did the primary spherical work out for a few of the greatest mock guys within the biz?

Under are the first-round projections from last mock drafts submitted earlier than the 2021 draft. Bolded gamers are appropriate picks, and analysts get half credit score for proper participant and proper staff however improper spot. Half factors for proper participant in appropriate spot however improper staff.

Vinnie Iyer’s mock draft (Sporting Information)

Iyer’s newest mock draft was launched on Draft day, April 29:

Choose No. Crew Participant Place College
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson
2 New York Jets Zach Wilson QB BYU
3 San Francisco 49ers (through MIA from HOU) Mac Jones QB Alabama
4 Atlanta Falcons Kyle Pitts TE Florida
5 Cincinnati Bengals Ja’Marr Chase WR LSU
6 Miami Dolphins (from PHI) Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama
7 Detroit Lions Penei Sewell OT Oregon
8 Carolina Panthers Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama
9 Denver Broncos Trey Lance QB North Dakota State
10 Dallas Cowboys Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina
11 New York Giants Rashawn Slater OT Northwestern
12 Philadelphia Eagles (through MIA from 49ers) DeVonta Smith WR Alabama
13 Los Angeles Chargers Alijah Vera-Tucker OL USC
14 Minnesota Vikings Jaelan Phillips EDGE Miami
15 New England Patriots Justin Fields QB Ohio State
16 Arizona Cardinals Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern
17 Las Vegas Raiders Micah Parsons LB Penn State
18 Miami Dolphins Kwity Paye EDGE Michigan
19 Washington Soccer Crew Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech
20 Chicago Bears Teven Jenkins OT Oklahoma State
21 Indianapolis Colts Gregory Rousseau EDGE Miami
22 Tennessee Titans Elijah Moore WR Ole Miss
23 New York Jets (from SEA) Azeez Ojulari EDGE Georgia
24 Pittsburgh Steelers Najee Harris RB Alabama
25 Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR) Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB Notre Dame
26 Cleveland Browns Christian Barmore DT Alabama
27 Baltimore Ravens Kadarius Toney WR Florida
28 New Orleans Saints Caleb Farley CB Virginia Tech
29 Inexperienced Bay Packers Zaven Collins LB Tulsa
30 Buffalo Payments Jayson Oweh EDGE Penn State
31 Baltimore Ravens (from Chiefs) Trevon Moehrig S TCU
32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Levi Onwuzurike DT Washington

Picks appropriate: 7.5/32

Noteworthy:

As with all mock drafts exterior the highest 10, it was a positive crapshoot within the again half. A number of first-round abilities are nonetheless out there on Day 2: Owusu-Koramoah, Barmore, Moehrig, Onwuzurike, Jenkins amongst Day 2 targets for groups.

You’ll be able to learn SN’s full seven-round mock draft right here.

Mel Kiper’s mock draft (ESPN)

Mel Kiper’s newest mock draft was launched on April 29 and options trades:

Choose No. Crew Participant Place College
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson
2 New York Jets Zach Wilson QB BYU
3 San Francisco 49ers (through MIA from HOU) Mac Jones QB Ohio State
4 Atlanta Falcons Kyle Pitts TE Florida
5 Cincinnati Bengals Ja’Marr Chase WR LSU
6 Miami Dolphins (through PHI) DeVonta Smith WR Alabama
7 New England Patriots (mock commerce with DET) Trey Lance QB North Dakota State
8 Carolina Panthers Penei Sewell OT Oregon
9 Denver Broncos Justin Fields QB Ohio State
10 Dallas Cowboys Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama
11 New York Giants Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama
12 Philadelphia Eagles (through MIA from SF) Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina
13 Los Angeles Chargers Rashawn Slater OL Northwestern
14 Minnesota Vikings Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech
15 Detroit Lions (mock commerce with NE) Micah Parsons LB Penn State
16 New York Jets (mock commerce with ARI) Alijah Vera-Tucker OL USC
17 Las Vegas Raiders Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB Notre Dame
18 Miami Dolphins Kwity Paye DE Michigan
19 Washington Soccer Crew Trevon Moehrig S TCU
20 Chicago Bears Elijah Moore WR Ole Miss
21 Indianapolis Colts Jaelan Phillips DE Miami
22 Tennessee Titans Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern
23 Arizona Cardinals (mock commerce with NYJ) Najee Harris RB Alabama
24 Pittsburgh Steelers Travis Etienne RB Clemson
25 Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR) Kadarius Toney WR Florida
26 Cleveland Browns Jamin Davis LB Kentucky
27 Baltimore Ravens Zaven Collins LB Tulsa
28 New Orleans Saints Caleb Farley CB Virginia Tech
29 Inexperienced Bay Packers Rashod Bateman WR Minnesota
30 Buffalo Payments Tyson Campbell CB Georgia
31 Los Angeles Chargers (through mock commerce with BAL) Asante Samuel Jr. CB Florida State
32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Christian Barmore DT Alabama

Picks appropriate: 5/32

Noteworthy:

Kiper got here oh so shut to getting the Jets commerce up proper: He had New York transferring as much as 16, versus 14, to maneuver up for Alijah Vera-Tucker. Nonetheless, a close to oh-fer within the second half of the draft means Kiper swung huge and missed huge on a good quantity of picks.

Todd McShay’s mock draft (ESPN)

McShay’s newest mock draft was launched on draft day, April 29:

Choose No. Crew Participant Place College
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson
2 New York Jets Zach Wilson QB BYU
3 San Francisco 49ers (through MIA from HOU) Trey Lance QB North Dakota State
4 Atlanta Falcons Kyle Pitts TE Florida
5 Cincinnati Bengals Ja’Marr Chase WR LSU
6 Miami Dolphins (from PHI) Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama
7 Detroit Lions Penei Sewell OT Oregon
8 Carolina Panthers Rashawn Slater OT Northwestern
9 Denver Broncos Justin Fields QB Ohio State
10 Dallas Cowboys Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama
11 New York Giants Kwity Paye DE Michigan
12 Philadelphia Eagles (through MIA from 49ers) DeVonta Smith WR Alabama
13 Los Angeles Chargers Alijah Vera-Tucker OL USC
14 Minnesota Vikings Jaelan Phillips DE Miami
15 New England Patriots Mac Jones QB Alabama
16 Arizona Cardinals Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina
17 Las Vegas Raiders Trevon Moehrig S TCU
18 Miami Dolphins Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB Notre Dame
19 Washington Soccer Crew Micah Parsons LB Penn State
20 Chicago Bears Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech
21 Indianapolis Colts Elijah Moore WR Ole Miss
22 Buffalo Payments (mock commerce with TEN) Travis Etienne RB Clemson
23 New York Jets (from SEA) Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern
24 Pittsburgh Steelers Najee Harris RB Alabama
25 Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR) Teven Jenkins OT Oklahoma State
26 Cleveland Browns Christian Barmore DT Alabama
27 Baltimore Ravens Liam Eichenberg OT Notre Dame
28 New Orleans Saints Kadarius Toney WR Floriday
29 Inexperienced Bay Packers Jamin Davis ILB Kentucky
30 Buffalo Payments Caleb Farley CB Virginia Tech
31 Baltimore Ravens (through KC) Rashod Bateman WR Minnesota
32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Zaven Collins OLB Tulsa

Picks appropriate: 8.5/32

Noteworthy:

McShay had a robust begin, nailing the primary seven picks of the draft earlier than the wheels got here off exterior the highest 10. Together with getting Mac Jones to the Patriots proper, Najee Harris was the one different decide McShay nailed after the highest 10, a well-liked choice amongst many mock drafts.

Daniel Jeremiah’s mock draft (NFL Community)

DJ’s newest mock draft was launched on April 28, draft eve.

Choose No. Crew Participant Place College
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson
2 New York Jets Zach Wilson QB BYU
3 San Francisco 49ers (through MIA from HOU) Mac Jones QB Alabama
4 Atlanta Falcons Kyle Pitts TE Florida
5 Cincinnati Bengals Penei Sewell OT Oregon
6 Miami Dolphins (from PHI) Ja’Marr Chase WR LSU
7 Denver Broncos (from DET) Justin Fields QB Ohio State
8 Carolina Panthers Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama
9 Detroit Lions Rashawn Slater OT Northwestern
10 Dallas Cowboys Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina
11 New England Patriots (from NYG) Trey Lance QB North Dakota State
12 Philadelphia Eagles (through MIA from 49ers) DeVonta Smith WR Alabama
13 Los Angeles Chargers Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama
14 Minnesota Vikings Jaelan Phillips EDGE Miami
15 New York Giants (from NE) Micah Parsons LB Penn State
16 Arizona Cardinals Zaven Collins LB Tulsa
17 Las Vegas Raiders Alijah Vera-Tucker OL USC
18 Miami Dolphins Kwity Paye EDGE Miami
19 Washington Soccer Crew Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB Notre Dame
20 Chicago Bears Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern
21 Indianapolis Colts Joe Tryon EDGE Washington
22 Tennessee Titans Elijah Moore WR Mississippi
23 New York Jets (from SEA) Travis Etienne RB Clemson
24 Pittsburgh Steelers Teven Jenkins OT Oklahoma State
25 Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR) Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech
26 Cleveland Browns Jamin Davis LB Kentucky
27 Baltimore Ravens Jayson Oweh EDGE Penn State
28 New Orleans Saints Tyson Campbell CB Georgia
29 Inexperienced Bay Packers Dillon Radunz OT North Dakota State
30 Buffalo Payments Asante Samuel Jr. CB Florida State
31 Baltimore Ravens (from KC) Liam Eichenberg OT Notre Dame
32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Najee Harris RB Alabama

Picks appropriate: 4.5/32

Noteworthy:

Very tough go of it for DJ this 12 months, with three of the primary 4 picks appropriate, then getting half credit score on DeVonta Smith and the Eagles proper in a while. Jeremiah additionally obtained the Zaven Collins-Arizona pairing appropriate at No. 16, the one mock right here to take action.

Peter King’s mock draft (NBC Sports activities)

Peter King, who truly had essentially the most correct mock of the 2020 NFL Draft, launched his first and last mock draft on April 26:

Choose No. Crew Participant Place College
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson
2 New York Jets Zach Wilson QB BYU
3 San Francisco 49ers (through MIA from HOU) Mac Jones QB Alabama
4 Atlanta Falcons Kyle Pitts TE Florida
5 Cincinnati Bengals Ja’Marr Chase WR LSU
6 Miami Dolphins (from PHI) Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama
7 Detroit Lions Penei Sewell OT Oregon
8 Carolina Panthers Justin Fields QB Ohio State
9 Denver Broncos Trey Lance QB North Dakota State
10 Dallas Cowboys Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama
11 New York Giants Micah Parsons LB Penn State
12 Philadelphia Eagles (through MIA from 49ers) Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina
13 Los Angeles Chargers Rashawn Slater T Northwestern
14 Minnesota Vikings Alijah Vera-Tucker OL USC
15 New England Patriots DeVonta Smith WR Alabama
16 Arizona Cardinals Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern
17 Las Vegas Raiders Caleb Farley CB Virginia Tech
18 Miami Dolphins Jaelan Phillips EDGE Miami
19 Washington Soccer Crew Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech
20 Chicago Bears Rashod Bateman WR Minnesota
21 Cleveland Browns (from IND) Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah LB Notre Dame
22 Baltimore Ravens (from TEN) Kwity Paye EDGE Michigan
23 New York Jets (from SEA) Gregory Rousseau EDGE Miami
24 Pittsburgh Steelers Najee Harris RB Alabama
25 Jacksonville Jaguars (from LAR) Jayson Oweh EDGE Penn State
26 Indianapolis Colts (from CLE) Sam Cosmi OT Texas
27 Tennssee Titans (from BAL) Elijah Moore WR Mississippi
28 New Orleans Saints Tyson Campbell CB Georgia
29 Inexperienced Bay Packers Jamin Davis LB Kentucky
30 Buffalo Payments Travis Etienne RB Clemson
31 Baltimore Ravens (from Chiefs) Landon Dickerson OL Alabama
32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Christian Barmore DT Alabama

Picks appropriate: 9.5/32

Noteworthy:

Peter King had the most effective mock final 12 months of sure collected consultants, and as soon as once more sits atop the mock pile of the collected consultants right here in 2021. 

King earned half credit score for the Alijah Vera-Tucker decide at No. 14, which he had mocked to the Vikings, however a trade-up from the Jets landed him in New York as an alternative.



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