So if I had been Hamas, I might not simply bask within the new voices criticizing Israel on the left. I might additionally fear that nearly no Arab governments got here to its protection, and that the Biden administration and the European Union and Russia and China principally gave Israel the time it wanted to ship a heavy blow to Hamas.
And I might fear about one thing else as properly: As Hamas makes itself the vanguard of the Palestinian trigger — and turns into its face — increasingly progressives will come to grasp what Hamas is — an Islamo-fascist motion that got here to energy in Gaza by a 2007 coup towards the Palestinian Authority, throughout which, amongst different issues, it threw a rival P.A. official off a 15-story rooftop.
Furthermore, after Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005, and earlier than there was any embargo, Hamas may have turned Gaza right into a thriving entity. It selected as a substitute to show the territory right into a launching pad for assaults on Israeli border posts after which to put money into 250 miles of assault tunnels and hundreds of rockets. As we speak, Hamas brazenly aspires to exchange Israel with its personal Tehran-like Islamic authorities, which subjugates ladies and persecutes any L.G.B.T.Q. Gazans who wish to publicly categorical their sexual identification.
This isn’t a “progressive” group — and Hamas is not going to get pleasure from indefinitely the free go it has gotten from the left as a result of it’s preventing Netanyahu.
For all of those causes, my pal Victor J. Friedman, an instructional activist who has labored extensively in Jewish-Palestinian and Israeli-Arab dialogues in Israel, emailed me from Israel to say:
“Possibly that is one other ‘Kissinger second.’ Just like the 1973 battle, this example is a wake-up name for Israel. Regardless of the spin, individuals know that there was no actual victory right here. Greater than ever there’s a feeling that one thing has to alter. Hamas, just like the Egyptians, in 1973 shocked Israel and did actual harm. Bibi wished to do sufficient harm to humiliate Hamas as a lot as potential, with out getting into on the bottom. However Biden stopped us earlier than we may completely humiliate Hamas.”
So, Victor added, “There’s a potential opening right here for some inventive diplomacy, identical to after the 1973 battle.”
I feel he’s proper, however with one large caveat. Kissinger’s negotiating companions had been all robust nationwide leaders: Egyptian President Anwar Sadat, Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir and Syrian President Hafez al-Assad — and so they had been resolving an interstate battle between sovereign nations.
Certainly, what Kissinger started in 1973 and Jimmy Carter accomplished at Camp David was solely potential as a result of all these leaders really agreed to disregard the core drawback — the intra-state drawback, the issue of two individuals wanting a state on the identical land. In different phrases, the Israeli-Palestinian drawback.